A classic end of the season match with high stakes. Aston Villa fights to avoid relegation hosts Arsenal that seeks a ticket for next year’s Europa League.
Two match days before the end of the season in England Aston Villa will host Arsenal for the Premier League. Arsenal are still fighting for their entry into the European Cups. They currently occupy 10th place in the table with 53 points. They are still missing 6 points for the Europa League. However, Arsenal is in the FA Cup final . And if they win this, they would also be qualified for the Europa League. On the other side, Aston Villa is still fighting to avoid relegation. Here is our Aston Villa – Arsenal tip for the bet of the day.
They currently occupy 18th place in the table with only 31 points. And they are missing 3 points on the safe rank 17. Villa’s direct pursuer, Bournemouth (19th), is tied with 31 points while Watford (17th) has 34. Thus, the Villans are under pressure. Only the victory will give them a chance but it is going to be difficult, because of the great form Arsenal has during the last weeks.
Can Aston Villa win?
After the break due to Covid-19, the Villans won only 1 game and were able to have 3 draws. They surrendered 4 times. After all, they haven’t lost any of their last two games. They have the sixth weakest attacking team in the league and their defense is the second weakest. Aston Villa also has the third weakest home and fourth weakest away team in PL. There is probably no need to say that they are clearly inferior to the Gunners. The Villans have won 6 games at home and made 3 draws. They surrendered 9 times. They have scored 21 times in front of their home crowd and conceded 30 goals. Away, they have 2 wins and 4 draws while they suffered 12 losses. They have scored 18 times and conceded 36 goals.
A win should be difficult, because coach Dean Smith has not yet found a recipe for success against Arsenal. He has lost all 2 matches so far. His average success rate as a trainer is 1.38 PPS. Aston Villa have met the Gunners 7 times since 17.08.2013. And the Villans did not win a single game, but lost all of them. In addition, they scored only 3 goals in these 7 games.
Can Arsenal do it again?
Arsenal recently won the FA Cup semi-final 2-0 at home against Manchester City. Thus, one of the most successful clubs in England will be in the final on August 1, 2020 where will meet their London opponents, Chelsea. In the Premier League, the Gunners lost only 3 games after the restart and were able to ensure 1 draw while they won 4 games. Arsenal has the seventh best attack and the fifth best defense in the league.
When the Gunners met Arteta… Also they are the seventh best home and tenth best away team in the Premier League. The Gunners have won 9 games in the North London district and have managed to draw 6 times. They surrendered another three times. They have scored 33 times in front of their home crowd and conceded 22 goals. They have 4 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. In foreign stadiums they conceded 23 goals and scored 20 times. It is only since December 22, 2019 that Arsenal “met” coach Mikel Arteta. The 38-year-old Spaniard has an average success rate as a trainer of 1.92 PPS. He was previously an assistant manager at Manchester City, next to Pep Guardiola.
Stats for the Aston Villa – Arsenal tip
- Still without a point at home against teams that finished inside the top six of 2018/19, Aston Villa have won just one of their last six home matches overall (W1, D1, L4).
- Four of Arsenal’s last six goals scored during a Premier League away game won/drawn have come from a player aged under 22 at the time.
- Arsenal’s record from their final Premier League away game across the last three seasons is perfect: 3 wins with 8-2 goals.
Aston Villa – Arsenal tip
We expect Arsenal will win this game. Since the odds on Tip 2 are very lucrative, we can recommend this win bet . We also recommend an over/under bet on over 2.5 goals . We would also bet for both teams to score.
Bet of the day: Aston Villa – Arsenal
- 2 (Arsenal wins)
- Over 2.5 goals
- Both teams to score (BTTS)
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