Within our extensive betting guides (including our over/under bet analysis, strategy and tips), you can find various strategies in order to increase his winning chances
Over and Under bets are very popular among punters. Over/under 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 etc. betting can be found in various sports – especially in football, of course. In addition to Over/under bet on the outcome of the game, handicap bets and various goal bets or scorer bets have established another important cornerstone in the field of football sports betting. But, why does this type of market has the 0.5? There is no such thing as a half goal, is there?
The answer is simple since bookies selected this option to avoid any confusion. If, for example, the market was over 2 goals, and the match ended 1-1 some players would think they’d won whether they’ve placed a bet on under 2 goals or over 2 goals. So, to avoid misunderstandings they have been called the Over 2.5 (0.5, 1.5, 3.5 etc.) and Under 2.5 (0.5, 1.5, etc.) goals markets.
A classic over/under bet is the number of goals. This type of bet is therefore mostly included in the family of goal bets. In the following analysis, we explain what exactly this type of bet is about, what you should pay attention to and which tips will bring you a little closer to the success of the bet! This is our over/under bet analysis, strategy, tips and predictions.
Under/Over free picks and tips
Over/under betting strategy
With over / under bets, it is tapped whether a certain countable value is exceeded or undercut. In this context, several sizes can be considered within a sporting event. The over/under bet on the total number of goals in football is definitely the best-known form of this betting family by far. As a rule, the bookmaker makes several values available for a game, whereby the sports bettors can choose from this pool which of them should ultimately be outbid or underbid. As you can see, with this type of bet you always have a theoretical chance of winning 50%. Here is a conventional example for easier understanding: Let’s take the Champions League encounter between Napoli and Manchester City at hand. The values in this case now relate to the number of goals in the game:
- Over 0.5 ( odds 1.02) | Under 0.5 (odds 10.50)
- Over 1.5 (odds 1.15) Under 1.5 (odds 5.00)
- Under 2.5 (odds 2.60) | Over 2.5 (odds 1.45)
- Over 3.5 (odds 2.05) Under 3.5 (odds 1.70)
- Over 4.5 (odds 3.30) | Under 4.5 (odds 1.30)
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Several options on over / under bets & tips
Odd values are therefore chosen by the bookmaker because this is the only way to ensure a clear result. In this example, we are dealing with two very offensive teams. So you expect to score a few goals, but also assume that Man City will initially tend to defensive stability away – just like Napoli. You are sure that at least two goals are going to be scored, but most likely a maximum of three goals can be expected. That’s why you bet on under 3.5 goals with a good odds of 1.70.
If there are actually three goals or less in the match, the bet is won. With a bet of 10 euros, you will reach 17 euros in case of a win. If there are more than three goals, the bet will be lost. In addition, there are other variants of the over/under bet that relate to the number of goals to choose from. Since these work on the same principle as in the example above, they are no longer specified separately. These would be other options:
- Over / Under 0.5, 1,5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5
- Number of goals 1st half
- Number of goals 2nd half
- 1st Half Goals Team 1|Team 2
- Number of goals 2nd half Team 1|Team 2
Here you can find specific tips and strategies on:
- Over/Under 2.5
- Over/Under 1.5
- Under/Over 0.5 first-half goals
Over/Under betting tips in other sports
You can find over/under bets also in other sports. These include American football, basketball or tennis. These work in the same way as the example above. Except that not the number of goals, but the total number of points in football or basketball or the number of games played in tennis). Here is another concrete example of the tennis match between Roger Federer and Alexander Zverev. It is important to be clear on how many winning sets the duel will be played on. In this case, there are two.
Total number of games in the 1st set
- More than 8.5 | Quote 1.20
- Less than 8.5 | Quote 6.70
Total number of games in the match
- More than 25.5 | Quote 2.10
- Less than 25.5 | Quote 1.60
Over/under bet strategy
One thing in advance: Over/Under bets are very popular with both beginners and professional sports bettors. Since these are 2-way bets, the risk is low, while at the same time the betting odds can be quite good and comparatively high. In theory, the chances of winning the game are 50-50. Nevertheless, you should not place betting tips thoughtlessly – because the chances of winning on paper should not be confused with the probability of a positive outcome! You should always get the most important information.
Over/under crucial questions and tips
In our over / under bet analysis, strategy and tips, if you answer the following crucial questions you will have more chances to win:
- What is the current form of the teams?
- How did the last H2Hs end?
- What goal scoring do the teams have? A look at the table can always be helpful.
- What is the squad composition?
- Are there injuries or are players banned?
- Are there any differences between home and away games? Teams often find it extremely difficult to score on foreign soil.
These factors and considerations should all be taken into account when making your decision before placing a bet. Since there are now several types and uses of over/under betting, several strategic considerations and tactics can also be used that we want to present to you below. Let’s stay with the classic of the over/under betting family: the bet on the number of goals.
Number of goals: Tips & strategy
Continuing our over / under bet analysis, strategy and tips, let’s take a look at the statistics books: in the last two seasons of the German Bundesliga, the average of goals per games was 2.83 and 2.87 goals. It looks very similar in the English Premier League. The average here is 2.80 goals per game in the 2016/17 season. So when it comes to over/under betting, we have a rough approximate starting point. This does not mean that your chances of winning are automatically increased. The majority of football games score two or three goals. But: In almost 50% of all football matches, there is an average of fewer than 2.5 goals! The average values are usually only raised by isolated, extremely goal-rich matches! Statistics should therefore only serve as a guideline.
Over/Under long term bets
Of course, there are over/under bets for the area of long-term bets. With many betting providers, it is possible to place a sports bet on the number of total points or the total number of goals scored by an individual team before the start of a league season or a competition such as a World Cup, European Championship qualification, Champions League etc.
Long term over/under bets could be for example: Does Eintracht Frankfurt collect more or less than 45.5 points in the 2020/21 season? Will Germany succeed in the World Cup qualification more or less than 25.5 goals?
Such betting tips naturally require a certain foresight – here it is important to find out about transfer news or the draw in advance. The right intuition and a dose of luck also play a major role, which means that long-term bets always have an uncertainty factor that should not be underestimated. You also have to be patient, because of course, you cannot generate quick money with such bets. The betting odds are often quite good.
More over/under football bets
In addition to the number of goals, you can theoretically place a bet on all countable parameters. This includes the number of yellow or red cards, corner kicks, goalscorers or hits of a single player. The offer is very different from event to event and from bookmaker to bookmaker. As with the classic over/under bet already discussed, it is always an advantage here if you have important information and current news in advance catches up. While tips on the number of corner balls are – regardless of the betting odds – mostly more like a game of luck, you can get more relevant information about the total number of cards. Derbies, in particular, are often the best choice for a real flood of cards.
Another decisive factor is the impartial nature of the encounter. On the one hand, there are referees who like to pull out the box and on the other hand, there are those who distribute the cards rather sparingly. Of course, your bookmakers know this too and will react accordingly. Nevertheless, with your considerations, you can be one step ahead of one or the other betting provider.
Asian over/under betting (Asian handicap)
This sophisticated variant combines the two formats Over/Under and Asian Handicap. Here is a quick explanation of the basic principle of the Asian handicap: Here you have the option of cashback as an additional option – this means you can win back your bet and get out with almost zero. With over/under bets, this option is as follows: While the “normal” variant always uses odd values, bets such as over/under 3.0 goals can also be placed with the Asian handicap.
Take a look at the following example: You close the betting tip over 3.0 in the encounter between Manchester United and Arsenal. If fewer than three goals are scored in this game, the bet is lost – if the teams achieve more than three goals, it is considered won. So far so good. In addition there is the following scenario: With exactly three goals you get your bet back (the amount you gambled). So you can already set your pulse back at 2-1, 1-2 or 3-0, 0-3. With this cash back option, it is obvious that the betting odds are slightly lower than with conventional over/under betting.
Over/Under live betting
Over/under bets are extremely popular, especially in connection with live betting. The market for live betting has been increasing dramatically in recent years – so it is no wonder that the scope of the betting offer (goals, cards, corner kicks, etc.) and the quality of betting odds in the over/under betting sector are also increasing. With live betting, it is worth looking out for this type of bet, as the odds in this area are lucrative. With the right predictions, you can make big profits here.
Can you combine over/under bets?
Of course, it is possible to place more sports bets from the field over/under as a combination bet. However, what is not possible is to combine the two outputs of a single event with each other, since logically the betting providers do not allow this. It only makes sense to bet on both exits if you should find odds of more than 2.00 for both exits at the same betting event with two different betting providers. Then it is time to strike – because a profit, be it a small one, is therefore certain!
Advantages and disadvantages of over/under betting
Considering our over / under bet strategy tips, let’s take a look for an advantage for all tactical punters: Over/Under bets are extremely versatile. On the one hand, there are numerous variants such as betting on the number of different sizes such as goals, cards, goalscorers, corners or penalties, on the other hand, you can combine over/under bets with other bet types and use them in several different formats: be it long-term bets, Asian handicap or Live betting. Since these are usually 2-way bets, your chances of winning are accordingly high, they are 50%. If you invest some time, you will definitely find what you are looking for in lucrative betting odds.
A very clear advantage of this type of bet is clearly the fact that you do not have to know the result or the correct outcome of a game or have to have it correctly to win the bet. The right feeling often is enough for the course of the game. It tends to be enough to be correct – for example, many or few goals? The range of bets in this sector can also be seen – it is also constantly growing.
Disadvantages
The betting odds on “probable” outcomes are often very low and the risk factor is still high, regardless of how much you inform yourself beforehand. Averages and statistics are never 100 per cent reliable. Although these can predict a trend, they are not very meaningful in individual cases, because often the theory doesn’t follow real life. We hope you found useful our over/under bet analysis, strategy and tips.
Within our extensive betting guides (including our over/under bet analysis, strategy and tips), you can find various strategies that a player can follow in order to increase his winning chances. Never forget that the most important detail is to have studied the… details of every match you are going to bet. Especially if you are willing to follow the specific match and include live betting in your menu!
Don’t forget to check the odds at our selected bookmakers and the best bookmakers! BetandSlots can be your perfect guide in online entertainment. You can follow our daily betting tips and picks in Bet of the day section.
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