Aston Villa – Manchester United tip: The Reds are in form and chase Chelsea and Leicester for a Champions League spot. Can they keep pushing? Here is our tip
Manchester United is facing Aston Villa at Villa Park and the Red Devils are highly favoured from bookies as they have been unbeaten in the last 21 away matches and the last 15 games in all competitions. The hosts have been without a win in the last 9 league games and have lost the most recent two home games. The guests won the last 3 games and are unbeaten the last four times in a row. Here is our Aston Villa – Manchester United tip for the bet of the day!
Aston Villa is fighting to stay in the league. It would be their first relegation from the Premier League in 6 years. However, the team of coach Dean Smith has remained without a win in the last 9 league games with 2 draws and 7 losses. The most recent two games were lost without a goal, with 0-1 at home against Wolverhampton and 0-2 at Liverpool. In the 33 Premier League games so far they had only 7 successes and 6 draws. This puts the Birmingham club in 18th place, 4 points behind the saving 17th place (Watford has one game more).
The Lions have not been able to win against the Red Devils for 11 years having 4 draws and 11 losses in the last 15 H2H. Even in the last 21 home H2H they have only 5 draws and 16 losses. They have been waiting for a home win against United for 21 years, from 1999!
Last home win back in January
Aston Villa also failed to win the last 4 home games with 1 draw and 3 losses. The most recent two home appearances were lost 1-2 against Chelsea and 0-1 against the Wolves. The last home win came on relegation competitor Watford on matchday 24 back in January. In 16 home games this season there were only 5 successes and 3 draws while 8 times they were defeated in their own stadium.
Smith’s team scored an average of only 1.19 goals per home game against 1.69 goals. There are more than 2.5 goals in 2/3 of the Villa home games and 62% of both teams score goals. In 5 of the latest 7 league games, Villa could not score a goal, most recently twice in a row and 7 times in a row they remained under 1.5 goals.
Will United win the fourth consecutive league game at Villa?
Manchester United is on the upswing in the season finish and could still make it into the Champions League. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s team won the last 3 games in the Premier League and remained unbeaten in the last 9 games with 6 wins and 3 draws, winning the 3 most recent games. Generally, in 33 league games, the Red Devils have 15 wins, 10 draws and 8 losses. So they are currently in 5th place, 4 points behind 4th Leicester.
The Red Devils are clearly favourites at odds below 1.40. In 5 out of the last 10 H2H and in 3 out of the 6 latest away matches, United did not even concede a goal. In 6 out of the recent 9 encounters in Birmingham, the two teams stayed under 2.5 goals.
Manchester United is without a defeat with 4 wins and 4 draws, in the last 4 away games. The last away bankruptcy was on matchday 23 in January against Liverpool. In 16 guest appearances this season, they have 5 successes and 5 draws and 6 losses, making the club number 8 in the away table. The Red Devils have scored at least 3 goals in the last 3 league games, marking an average of 1.19 goals per guest appearance with conceding 1.19 goals. In 3/4 of United’s away games, there are fewer than 2.5 goals and in 56% both teams didn’t score. Every fifth away game Solskjaer’s team wins without conceding a goal and in every fourth visiting game the team scores in both halves.
Stats for the Aston Villa – Manchester United tip
- Aston Villa is winless in four home matches (D1, L3). All of the defeats in that run produced a single-goal margin, with the decisive goal consistently arriving beyond the hour mark. In 2020 alone, Villa has averaged exactly 3.0 ‘goals against’ across four home league defeats, conceding exactly twice in one half on three occasions.
- Manchester United are unbeaten in their last nine Premier League matches (W6, D3), while also winning the first half by a two-goal margin in each of their post-restart league victories.
- In a stat going back to March 2003, eight of United’s last ten Premier League victories at Villa Park have seen them win the first half.
- Villa has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match between the 60th minute and FT since the restart.
- Man United’s post-restart PL games have averaged 1.5 goals (either way) per match inside the opening half-hour.
- Four of the last five Premier League H2Hs at Villa Park have produced a 1-0 half-time scoreline.
Aston Villa – Manchester United tip
Manchester United should assert confidently at Aston Villa. Tip 2 is a bank. Also, a good choice would be to bet on the guests to be ahead at the break. Risk takers can also tap the away win to zero. There will be fewer than 2.5 goals to be seen, although risk-conscious people can still take decent odds with less than 3.5 goals in this game. Our betting tip recommendation: Tip 2 Halftime 1
Bet of the day: Aston Villa – Manchester United
- 2 Half Time
- Under 2.5 goals
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